Golden Ten Data Global Financial Breakfast | March

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Today's picks

Federal Reserve policy indicator: No rush to cut interest rates now!

Death toll in Moscow State Concert Hall terrorist attack rises to 140

The yen once devalued to its lowest level since 1990! The authorities are increasingly issuing verbal warnings

S&P confirms U.S. sovereign credit rating "AA+/A-1+"

India's gold imports in March are expected to drop by more than 90% month-on-month

President Xi Jinping: China and the United States have more common interests than less.

The total profits of industrial enterprises above designated size nationwide increased by 10.2% year-on-year.

Beijing lifts restriction on house purchase within three years after divorce

Market inventory

On Wednesday, the U.S. dollar index fluctuated within a narrow range above the 104 mark, and finally closed flat at 104.29. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield remained above the 4.2% mark, closing at 4.228%, and the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield, which is most sensitive to the Fed's policy rate, closed at 4.583%. The U.S. dollar against the yen once rose to 151.97, the highest level since 1990. Japan's three major financial institutions held an emergency meeting but did not carry out any actual intervention. In response, the U.S. and Japan fell by more than 50 points and then rebounded again.

Spot gold suddenly rose again during the European trading session, returning to above the 2190 mark, and finally closed up 0.73% at US$2194.86 per ounce; spot silver finally closed up 0.78% at US$24.65 per ounce.

Despite the unexpected increase in EIA crude oil inventories, the two oil prices still rose. WTI crude oil started its rise during the European trading session and stood firmly above US$81, finally closing up 0.53% at US$81.65/barrel; Brent crude oil closed up 0.47% at US$85.64/barrel.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 1.22%, the S&P 500 Index rose 0.86%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.51%. Trump's Trump Media closed up 14%, while Apple (AAPL.O) rose 2%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose slightly, with Bilibili (BILI.O) up more than 5%, Xpeng Motors (XPEV.N) down 8.5%, and NIO (NIO.N) down 2%.

Major European stock indexes closed higher across the board, with Germany's DAX30 index closing up 0.5%; Britain's FTSE 100 index closing up 0.01%; and the European Stoxx 50 index closing up 0.35%.

The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index closed down 1.36% at 16,392.84 points. The Hang Seng Technology Index closed down 2.25% at 3393.43 points. As of the close, the Hang Seng Index's trading volume reached HK$115.609 billion (the previous trading day's trading volume was HK$108.652 billion). On the market, the dairy sector led the decline, technology and Internet stocks and automobile stocks fell, real estate stocks pulled back, and gold and precious metals stocks rose. In terms of individual stocks, Mengniu Dairy (02319.HK) fell nearly 10%, SenseTime (00020.HK) fell more than 10%, CITIC Holdings (00267.HK) fell 6.4%, Xpeng Motors (09868.HK), BYD Co., Ltd. ( 01211.HK) fell more than 6%, NIO (09866.HK) fell 5.8%, Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) fell 4.8%, Baidu (09888.HK) fell 4.7%, Li Auto (02015.HK) ), Xiaomi Group (01810.HK), and Bilibili (09626.HK) fell more than 3%, Shenzhou International (02313.HK) rose more than 10%, and Zijin Mining (02899.HK) rose 2%.

A-shares fluctuated downward, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below 3,000 points in late trading. As of the close, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.26%, the Shenzhen Stock Exchange Component Index fell 2.4%, and the ChiNext Index fell 2.81%. On the market, NMN Concept bucked the trend and soared, Yaben Chemical hit the daily limit of 20%, and Erkang Pharmaceuticals, Jindawei, Kanghui Pharmaceuticals, and Brother Technology hit the daily limit or rose by more than 10%. The concept of computing power leasing is in the doldrums, Aofei Data fell by more than 15%, and many stocks such as Zhongbei Communications and Hi-tech Development fell by the limit. Sectors such as vitamins, banks, coal, and home appliances also rose, while sectors such as copper cable high-speed connections, Xiaomi cars, CPO concepts, and memory chips were among the top decliners. More than 4,700 stocks in the Shanghai, Shenzhen and North stock markets fell, with a turnover of less than 900 billion yuan.

international news

1. Fed Governor Waller said there is currently no sign of an urgent need to cut interest rates. He emphasized that the stickiness of inflation indicates that there is no need to rush to cut interest rates. Current interest rates may be maintained for longer than expected, and the number of interest rate cuts may be reduced this year. Waller also said he wanted to see "at least a few months of better inflation data" before cutting interest rates.

2. The death toll from the terrorist attack on the Moscow State Concert Hall rose to 140, and the number of injured rose to 360.

3. The yen once depreciated to its highest level since 1990. Japan’s three major financial institutions held emergency meetings but did not carry out any actual intervention. Japan’s Deputy Minister of Finance Masato Kanda said that he would not rule out taking any measures to deal with disorderly foreign exchange fluctuations. Bank of Japan officials said that if foreign exchange market fluctuations affect the economy and price trends, the central bank will respond through monetary policy.

4. The local police in Kharkiv, Ukraine, stated that Russia used large-caliber missiles to attack Kharkiv for the first time since 2022.

5. Sources revealed that India’s gold imports in March are expected to drop by more than 90% month-on-month.

6. Canada’s population will increase by 1.27 million people in 2023, with a population growth rate of 3.2%, the fastest growth rate since 1957.

7. Standard & Poor's confirmed the "AA+/A-1+" sovereign credit rating of the United States and believed that its outlook is stable.

8. The United States may usher in an “explosive” hurricane season, with a record number of Atlantic storms.

9. FTSE Russell: India and South Korea will remain on the FTSE World Treasury Index classification watch list, and Switzerland will be removed from the bond index watch list.

10. Amazon invested an additional US$2.75 billion in the AI ​​startup Anthropic. This is Amazon’s largest venture investment to date, with a total investment of US$4 billion in two rounds.

domestic news

1. President Xi Jinping met with representatives from the U.S. business community and strategic academia. Xi Jinping emphasized that the common interests between China and the United States have not decreased, but have increased.

2. President Xi Jinping met with Dutch Prime Minister Rutte and pointed out that China is willing to expand imports of high-quality goods from the Netherlands.

3. The State Council appointed Tao Ling as deputy governor of the People's Bank of China.

4. Vice Foreign Minister Ma Zhaoxu had a telephone conversation with US Deputy Secretary of State Campbell on request.

5. Zheng Shanjie, director of the National Development and Reform Commission, pointed out that the development of new productive forces should be the focus of the basic thinking of the “15th Five-Year Plan”.

6. Four departments including the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology stated that by 2027, new general aviation equipment will be commercially available in urban air transport, logistics distribution, emergency rescue and other fields.

7. National Bureau of Statistics: From January to February, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size nationwide was 914.06 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.2%.

8. The official website of the Beijing Housing and Urban-Rural Development Commission shows that the "Announcement of the Beijing Municipal Housing and Urban-Rural Development Commission on Further Improving the Purchase Restriction Policy for Commercial Housing" issued in August 2021 has expired, which means that Beijing has canceled the restriction on house purchase within three years of divorce. The agency stated that Beijing’s restrictive policies are expected to continue to be optimized.

9. The first drone low-altitude express logistics route between Zhuhai and Shenzhen has recently started trial operation.

Risk Warning

At 7:50, the Bank of Japan will announce the summary of the opinions of the review committee in March;

At 15:00, the UK will announce the final annual GDP rate for the fourth quarter and the current account for the fourth quarter;

At 15:10, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida will hold a press conference;

At 20:30, the United States will announce the number of initial jobless claims for the week to March 23. The market expects it to record 212,000;

At 20:30, the United States will also announce the final annualized quarterly rate of real GDP in the fourth quarter, the final quarterly rate of real personal consumption expenditures in the fourth quarter, and the final annualized quarterly rate of the core PCE price index in the fourth quarter;

At 21:45, the United States will release Chicago PMI data for March;

At 22:00, the United States will announce the final value of the University of Michigan consumer confidence index in March, the one-year inflation rate expectation in March, and the monthly rate of existing home contract sales index in February.

Article forwarded from: Golden Ten Data

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