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Black Swan Money Making Master - Taleb's 66 Advice

时间:2024-02-23|浏览:263

Lose a little bit every dayMake a lot of money when you encounter a black swanBlack Swan Money Making MasterTaleb’s 66 Advices (Complete)four major categories

About cognition

About investment

about work

About technologyTaleb is also known as the master of "uncertainty"his tetralogy"Black Swan""Antifragile""The Random Wandering Fool""Asymmetric Risk"Regarded as a model by countless financial tycoons1. About cognition

001. Starting from Cato the Elder in ancient Rome, people have been showing their maturity by rebuking the "shallowness" of the next generation and praising the "value" of the previous generation.002. If you can predict what the day will be like when you wake up in the morning, you are already approaching death - the more accurate your predictions, the closer you are to death.003. People always like to pay attention to "role models", but in fact, what they should pay more attention to is "anti-role models" - what you don't want to become when you grow up.004. Education can only make smart people a little smarter than before, but it can make fools become much more dangerous than before.005. When you praise a person for having no shortcomings, you are also pointing out that he has no advantages.006. Social media is seriously anti-social, healthy food is very unhealthy, knowledge workers are extremely lacking in knowledge, and social science is not science at all.007. The Price of Specialization: Architects build buildings to impress other architects, models stay slim to impress other models, academics write papers to impress other academics , directors keep trying to impress other directors, painters create to impress art dealers, however, writers who write to impress publishing editors generally fail.008.The most damaging thing to your reputation is what you say to protect it.009. You truly exist in this world only when you are free to do anything without any obvious purpose, reason, or requirement from others.010. If your anger gradually dissipates over time, it means that you have done something unfair to others; if it gradually increases over time, it means that others have done something unfair to you.011. Modernity creates young people without heroism, old people without wisdom, and lives without glory.012. We are better at (unconsciously) doing things out of the norm than (consciously) thinking out of the box.013. Thinking like an activist is less dangerous than acting like a thinker.014. Supplement to Moore’s Law: Humanity’s collective intelligence will be reduced by half every 10 years.015. Knowledge is what we subtract (what doesn’t work, what shouldn’t be done), not what we add (what should be done).016. Using others’ lack of common sense as an excuse is itself a sign of lack of common sense.017. The most important characteristic of a fool is that he or she does not realize that someone may like something you don’t like (you may also like it in the future), and vice versa.018. Don’t read books written in the last 100 years, don’t eat fruits cultivated in the last 1,000 years, don’t drink drinks invented in the last 4,000 years (just drink water and red wine is enough), and don’t talk to ordinary people over 40 years old. . Ordinary people start aging and dying at the age of 30.019. The people who give the most advice to others are the ones who are least successful, especially when it comes to writing and finances.020. After a long walk, philosophers can figure out what things are like through reasoning alone, which is a priori; others can only figure out what things are like through mistakes, crises, accidents and bankruptcies, which is a posteriori. Tested.021. A good enemy is far more loyal, more predictable, and more useful to a wise man than his most worthy suitor.022. They were born in a box, lived in the box when they returned home, checked off each "box" when studying, went to work in the box, sat in the box at work, and drove the box to the supermarket to buy... Food in a box, riding a box to the gym, talking about thinking outside the box, being placed in a box after death. These are boxy, smooth-surfaced boxes according to Euclidean definition.2. About investment

023. A quick summary of the stock market: Participants calmly wait in line behind a line about to be slaughtered, thinking they are waiting in line for a Broadway show.024. Listed companies, like human cells, are destined to decline and self-destruct due to debt and potential risks. The bailout gave this process a historical dimension.025. “It’s much easier to scam someone out of billions of dollars than millions of dollars.”026. To bankrupt a fool, just give him information.027. Science requires you to understand the world, and business requires you to let others misunderstand the world.028. What economics doesn’t understand is that group (or collective) behavior is far more unpredictable than individual behavior.029. What they call "risk" I call opportunity; what they call "low risk" opportunity I call a fool's problem.030. The left believes that the market is stupid, so the model should be smart; the right believes that the model is stupid, so the market should be smart. What neither side realizes is that both the market and the model are profoundly stupid.031. The difference between banks and the mafia is that banks are better at dealing with laws and regulations, but the mafia can understand public opinions.032. What fools call "wasting time" is often the best investment.033. You know your influence when people notice your absence more than their presence.034. Those who make a living by lying down or standing are more trustworthy than those who make a living by sitting down.035. The opposite of success is not failure, but always showing off the names of famous people you know.036. The characteristic of a loser is that he complains about human flaws, prejudices, contradictions and lack of reason, but does not use these things to pursue his own happiness and interests.037. My only measure of success is how much time you have to kill.038. We will ask "why is he rich (or poor)" instead of "why is he not richer (or poorer)"; we will ask "why is the crisis so serious" rather than "why is the crisis not more serious".039. Among 100 people, 50% of the wealth, 90% of the imagination, and 100% of the wisdom are concentrated in one person - not necessarily the same person.040. "Wealth" is a meaningless word because it cannot be measured accurately; it is better to use the word "lack of wealth" instead, which means the gap between what you have and what you want to have at any moment.041. You are only rich if refusing to accept a sum of money makes you feel better than accepting it.042. If you want to become rich all of a sudden, you can deal with poor people; if you want to become poor all of a sudden, you can deal with rich people.3. About work043. The three most harmful addictive substances are heroin, carbohydrates and monthly salary.044. Work will destroy your soul. It will secretly invade your mind when you are "not working", so you must choose your career carefully.045. There is no intermediate state between ice and water, but there is indeed an intermediate state between life and death: the state of employment.046. In the past, people wore ordinary clothes during the working day and put on formal clothes during Sunday prayers. Today it is just the opposite.047. You remember the emails you sent but did not receive a reply, but you cannot remember the emails you received but did not receive a reply.048. The best evidence of the uniqueness of an idea is not that there were no ideas similar to it in the past, but that there are many ideas that are contrary to it now.049. Karl Marx (a visionary) discovered that to better control a slave, you could convince him that he was actually an employee.050. Some professions may seem interesting to outsiders, but are actually boring. Even pirates are like that, they say.051. The pursuit of efficiency is the main obstacle to us living a poetic, noble, elegant, dynamic and heroic life.052. If someone gives you more than one reason why he wants the job, don't hire him.053. They think a regular life is six days of work and one day off; I think a regular life is one day of work (or half a day) and six days of rest.054. Don’t trust a person who needs an income – unless he’s making minimum wage.055. People who abide by morality choose their profession based on their beliefs, rather than choosing their beliefs based on their profession. Since the Middle Ages, there have been fewer and fewer such people.4. About technology056. The 20th century declared the bankruptcy of social utopia, and the 21st century will declare the bankruptcy of technological utopia.057. Technology can make a fool’s life degrade in all aspects (or even fall into crisis), while at the same time making him believe that his life is becoming more “efficient”.058.The difference between technology and slavery is that slaves know very well that they are not free.059. Pharmaceutical companies are better at inventing diseases that match existing drugs than at inventing drugs to treat existing diseases.060. The double punishment given to us by modern society is that it both makes us age earlier and makes us live longer.061. In the past, the vast majority of people were ignorant, and about one in a thousand people was literate enough to be worthy of dialogue. Today, illiteracy rates have dropped significantly, but due to social progress, media and economic influence, only one in 10,000 people is worth talking to.062. The era of exponential growth of information is like a person with language incontinence: He talks more and more, but fewer and fewer people listen to him.063. The disaster of the information age is that the harms of information grow much faster than its benefits.064. Most people who are addicted to information - the Internet - media - newspapers have a hard time accepting that the (main) way to gain wisdom is to remove junk information from the mind.065. The Internet allows people to "connect" to each other, creating a weird promiscuous atmosphere on the information and pseudo-social levels, which makes people feel like they are clean again every time they log off.066. Technology is most effective when it is invisible.

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