时间:2024-02-24|浏览:282
比特币(BTC)一直面临52,000美元附近的强劲阻力,增加了短期回调的可能性。 据包括 BitMEX Research 在内的多个消息来源称,2 月 21 日,横向走势导致现货比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 净流出约 3600 万美元。 然而,出血在 2 月 22 日停止,当天 ETF 净流入约 2.51 亿美元。
一些分析师认为,市场已做好在四月份减半之前回调的准备。 知名交易员兼分析师 Rekt Capital 表示,比特币当前的牛市阶段与 2016 年和 2020 年的牛市类似。 如果历史重演,“减半前的回撤”和“减半后的重新积累期”是可能的。
每日加密货币市场表现。 来源: Coin360
比特币对继续上涨的犹豫引发了部分山寨币的获利盘。 修正阶段对于市场的长期健康是积极的,因为它可以摆脱弱势者,并允许强势者在较低水平上加仓。
比特币和山寨币下跌时需要注意的关键支撑位是什么? 让我们分析一下前 10 名加密货币的图表来找出答案。
比特币价格分析
比特币 11 月 21 日烛台上的长尾显示,多头在 50,625 美元的直接支撑位逢低买入,但无法突破 52,000 美元的障碍。
BTC/USDT 日线图。 来源: TradingView
空头将再次试图将价格拉至 50,625 美元以下。 如果他们能够成功,BTC/USDT 货币对可能会跌至 48,970 美元的强劲支撑位。 从该水平反弹将表明市场情绪仍然看涨,交易者正在逢低买入。 突破 52,000 美元后,上涨趋势将恢复。 然后两人的价格可能会达到 60,000 美元。
然而,空头可能还有其他计划。 他们将努力将价格拉低至 48,970 美元以下。 如果他们这样做,抛售可能会加剧,货币对可能会暴跌至 50 日移动平均线(45,247 美元)。
以太币价格分析
2 月 22 日,以太币 (ETH) 试图突破 3,000 美元的心理阻力位,但空头坚守阵地。
ETH/USDT 日线图。 来源: TradingView
卖家正试图开始向 2,717 美元的突破水平进行修正。 这是一个值得关注的重要水平,因为 20 日均线(2,734 美元)就在附近。 如果价格从 2,717 美元强力反弹,则表明多头已将该水平转变为支撑位。 随后多头将再次尝试突破 3,000 美元的关口。 如果他们成功,ETH/USDT 货币对可能会达到 3,300 美元。
空头必须将价格拉低并维持在 2,717 美元以下,以削弱多头的力量。 随后该货币对可能会跌至 50 日移动平均线(2,497 美元)。 如此深度的下跌可能会推迟下一阶段上升趋势的开始。
BNB价格分析
BNB (BNB) resumed its uptrend after breaking above the $367 resistance on Feb. 21. The next target objective on the upside is $400.
BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bears will try to stall the up move at $400, but if the bulls do not give up much ground from the level, it will indicate that every minor dip is being bought. That will improve the prospects of a rally to $460.
The first support on the downside is $368, and then the 20-day EMA ($344). If the supports fail to hold, the correction could reach the 50-day SMA ($318). This is an essential level for the bulls to defend because a break below it will signal a trend change.
Solana price analysis
Solana (SOL) bounced off the 50-day SMA ($99) on Feb. 21, but the bulls could not push the price above the 20-day EMA ($105).
SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bears will try to strengthen their position by pulling the price below the 50-day SMA. If they do that, the SOL/USDT pair could descend to $93 and then to $80. This level is likely to attract aggressive buying by the bulls.
On the upside, the bulls will have to overcome the barrier at the downtrend line to signal that the correction may be over. The pair could then attempt a rally to $126, where the bears are likely to mount a strong defense.
XRP price analysis
XRP (XRP) formed an inside-day candlestick pattern on Feb. 22, indicating indecision between the buyers and sellers. This uncertainty resolved to the downside on Feb. 23, suggesting that the bears had overpowered the bulls.
XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bears will try to sink the pair to the strong support zone between $0.48 and $0.46. A strong rebound of this zone suggests that the XRP/USDT pair remains range-bound between $0.46 and $0.57 for a few days.
The bulls will have to shove the price above $0.57 to indicate the start of a new up move. The pair will then attempt a rally to $0.67 and subsequently to the formidable resistance at $0.74.
Cardano price analysis
Cardano (ADA) is trying to take support at the 20-day EMA ($0.57), but the bears have not given up and are maintaining the selling pressure.
ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
If the bears prevail, the ADA/USDT pair could skid to the 50-day SMA ($0.53). This is an important level for the bulls to defend because if this level gives way, the pair could plummet to the vital support at $0.46.
On the contrary, if the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA with strength, it will suggest that the sentiment remains positive and traders are buying on dips. The bulls will then try to overcome the resistance zone between $0.64 and $0.68.
Avalanche price analysis
Avalanche (AVAX) tried to start a recovery on Feb. 22, but the bears fiercely defended the 20-day EMA ($37.90). This suggests that recoveries are being sold into.
AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bears continued selling on Feb. 23 and pulled the price below the 50-day SMA ($35.96). The AVAX/USDT pair could drop to the solid support at $32. A solid bounce off this level will suggest that the pair may oscillate between $32 and $42 for a while.
Contrarily, if the price turns up from the current level and rises above the 20-day EMA, it will suggest strong buying at lower levels. The bulls will then attempt to drive the price above $42 and complete the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern.
Related: Here’s what happened in crypto today
Dogecoin price analysis
The bulls are trying to maintain Dogecoin (DOGE) above the symmetrical triangle, while the bears are trying to pull the price back below it.
DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
If the price rebounds off the current level, the bulls will try to propel the DOGE/USDT pair above the $0.09 resistance. If they succeed, the pair could start an uptrend toward the $0.10 to $0.11 resistance zone.
This positive view will be invalidated in the near term if the price turns down and plummets below the 50-day SMA ($0.08). The pair could then slump to the uptrend line. A break below this level will tilt the advantage in favor of the bears.
Chainlink price analysis
Chainlink (LINK) has pulled back in an uptrend. The bears are trying to drag the price to the breakout level of $17.32.
LINK/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
If the price rebounds off $17.32 with strength and rises above the 20-day EMA ($18.67), it will suggest that the bulls have flipped the level into support. That will increase the likelihood of a retest of $20.85.
The critical support to watch on the downside is the 50-day SMA ($16.65). If this level cracks, it will indicate that the bulls have given up. That may start a deeper correction to $15 and later to $12.85.
Polkadot price analysis
The bulls are trying to keep Polkadot (DOT) inside the ascending channel pattern, while the bears are striving to pull the price below it.
DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The flattish 20-day EMA ($7.41) and the RSI near the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears. If the price breaks below the 50-day SMA ($7.17), the DOT/USDT pair could slide to $6.50.
On the other hand, a strong bounce off the current level will indicate that the bulls are fiercely defending the support line. That may keep the price inside the channel for some more time. The bulls will try to push the pair to the channel’s resistance line.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
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