价格分析1/12：BTC、ETH、BNB、SOL、XRP、ADA、AVAX、DOGE、DOT、MAT

美国监管机构最终于 1 月 10 日批准了比特币 (BTC) 现货交易所交易基金申请，数只 ETF 于 1 月 11 日开始交易。这一结果引起了广泛的讨论，以至于该事件并未导致大幅飙升或大幅抛售，表明批准很大程度上已被定价。

即使没有任何看涨的推动力，比特币 ETF 也引起了交易者足够的兴趣。

数据显示，新推出的比特币 ETF 交易第一天总交易量就达到 45 亿美元。

每日加密货币市场表现。

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经过初步调整后，随着交易员等待机构资金开始流入比特币 ETF，比特币可能会在短期内进入一个区间。

然而，从长远来看，比特币 ETF 以及 2024 年 4 月比特币减半可能会导致供应紧张，从而推高价格。

哪些关键支撑位可能会吸引比特币和山寨币的购买？

让我们分析一下前 10 名加密货币的图表来找出答案。

比特币价格分析

从 1 月 10 日的长尾和 1 月 11 日烛台上的长影线可以看出，过去几天比特币一直在波动。

这表明在较低水平买入并在逢高卖出。

BTC/USDT 日线图。

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空头已将价格拉低至 44,700 美元的突破水平以下，这表明市场已经拒绝了更高的水平。

多头将试图阻止跌势至 50 日简单移动平均线（42,404 美元）。

如果价格从 50 日移动平均线反弹，多头将试图将价格拉回到上方阻力位 44,700 美元上方。

如果他们能成功，BTC/USDT 货币对可能会攀升至 49,000 美元，然后升至 52,000 美元。

相反，跌破 50 日移动平均线可能会加速抛售，该货币对可能会暴跌至 40,000 美元，最终跌至 37,980 美元。

以太币价格分析

1 月 10 日，以太币 (ETH) 飙升至 2,400 美元上方阻力位，标志着下一阶段上升趋势的开始。

ETH/USDT 日线图。

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上行的第一个目标是 2,700 美元，这可能会吸引短线交易者获利了结。

然而，如果 ETH/USDT 没有从该水平回撤太多，则表明每次小幅下跌都会被买入。

这可能会改善价格升至 3,000 美元重要心理水平的前景。

下行的第一个支撑位是 2,566 美元。

如果突破该水平，该货币对可能会跌至 2,500 美元，然后跌至 2,400 美元的突破水平。

BNB价格分析

BNB (BNB) 的回调于 1 月 8 日在 20 日均线（300 美元）处停滞，表明市场情绪依然乐观，交易者逢低买入。

BNB/USDT 日线图。

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The bulls started a recovery on Jan. 10, but they could not maintain the momentum. This suggests that rallies are being sold into. If bears sink and sustain the price below the 20-day EMA, the selling could intensify, and the BNB/USDT pair may plummet to the neckline.

Instead, if the price once again bounces off the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the bulls remain in control. That will increase the possibility of a rally to $350. If buyers overcome this resistance, the BNB/USDT pair could start its march to $400.

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) has been squeezed between the uptrend line and the downtrend line for the past several days.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The flattish 20-day EMA ($97) and the RSI near the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears. If the price sustains below the 20-day EMA, the SOL/USDT pair could dip to the uptrend line. If this support also cracks, the correction may deepen to $67.

On the contrary, the bulls will have to drive and sustain the price above the downtrend line to gain the upper hand. The pair may then ascend to $117 and subsequently to $126.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) clawed back above the breakdown level of $0.57 on Jan. 10, indicating solid buying at lower levels.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Both moving averages have flattened out, and the RSI is just below the midpoint, suggesting that the selling pressure is reducing. The bulls will have to shove and sustain the price above the downtrend line to signal the start of an up move. The XRP/USDT pair may attempt a rally to $0.67 and later to $0.74.

If bears want to prevent the upward move, they will have to quickly yank the price below the strong support at $0.54. If they succeed, it will clear the path for a further decline to $0.50 and eventually to $0.46.

Cardano price analysis

Cardano (ADA) rose above the moving averages on Jan. 10, but the bulls could not maintain the momentum and clear the hurdle at the downtrend line.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears are trying to pull the price below the 20-day EMA ($0.56), which may start a downward move toward $0.46. That may keep the ADA/USDT pair between the downtrend line and $0.46.The flattening 20-day EMA and the RSI just above the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears.

This view will be invalidated if the price bounces off the 20-day EMA and pole vaults above the downtrend line. The pair could then retest the overhead resistance at $0.68. If this hurdle is cleared, the pair may rally to $0.90.

Avalanche price analysis

Avalanche (AVAX) turned up from the 50-day SMA ($34.83) on Jan. 10 and rose above the neckline at $38, indicating that the bulls are trying to trap the aggressive bears.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($38.06) is flattening out, and the RSI is near the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand. A close below the 20-day EMA could sink the AVAX/USDT pair to the 50-day SMA and later to $31.

Contrarily, if the price turns up from the current level, it will suggest that the bulls are trying to flip $38 into support. The pair may then climb to $44, where the bears are likely to mount a strong defense.

Dogecoin price analysis

Buyers pushed Dogecoin (DOGE) above the 20-day EMA ($0.09) on Jan. 11, but they could not achieve a close above it. This shows that the bears are viewing the rallies as a selling opportunity.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price continues lower, the bears will try to tug the DOGE/USDT pair to the next support at $0.07. Buyers are expected to defend the level with vigor because a failure to do so could sink the pair to $0.06.

On the upside, the bulls will have to drive and sustain the price above the moving averages to indicate that the corrective phase may be over. The pair may then climb to the $0.10 to $0.11 overhead resistance zone.

Polkadot price analysis

Polkadot (DOT) bounced off the 50-day SMA ($7.09) and rose above the overhead resistance of $7.90 on Jan. 10.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls tried to continue the up move on Jan. 11, but the long wick on the candlestick shows selling at higher levels. The bears are trying to pull the price below the 20-day EMA ($7.74). If they do that, the DOT/USDT will form a symmetrical triangle pattern.

Usually, the symmetrical triangle is a continuation pattern, but it behaves as a reversal set up at times. A slide below the support line could start a sharp decline, while a break above the triangle will open the doors for a possible retest of $9.59.

Polygon price analysis

Polygon (MATIC) surged and closed above the moving averages on Jan. 10, indicating aggressive buying by the bulls.

MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($0.88) has started to turn up, and the RSI is just above the midpoint, signaling a slight advantage to the buyers. If the price bounces off $0.89, the bulls will try to propel the MATIC/USDT pair to $1.

Conversely, if the price turns down and skids below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest a lack of demand at higher levels. That may keep the pair range-bound between $0.70 and $1 for a few more days.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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