价格分析2/16：BTC、ETH、SOL、BNB、XRP、ADA、AVAX、DOGE、LINK、DO

比特币 (BTC) 本周上涨至 52,000 美元上方，并且涨势没有显示出疲倦的迹象。这表明对比特币的需求在各个更高的水平上持续存在。链上数据分析公司 CryptoQuant 的一份报告称，他们估计“超过 75% 的比特币新投资”来自现货比特币交易所交易基金。

然而，没有什么是永远上涨的。一些分析师怀疑近期涨势过热。当势头强劲时，很难称之为顶部，但每一个欣喜时刻最终都会达到顶峰，然后是急剧的回调。

每日加密货币市场表现。来源：

宏观经济因素可能会成为近期市场反弹的阻力。 1 月 16 日，芝商所的 FedWatch 工具显示，美联储在 3 月份会议上降息 25 个基点的可能性为 63%，但在消费者价格指数和生产者价格指数数据公布后，这一预期已降至 10.5% 1 月份仍高于市场预期。

比特币是否会在短期内开始调整，这会拉低山寨币吗？让我们分析一下前 10 名加密货币的图表来找出答案。

比特币价格分析

比特币一直面临52,000美元附近的阻力，但多头并未向空头让出阵地，表明他们并不急于获利了结。

BTC/USDT 日线图。来源：

向上倾斜的20日指数移动平均线（46,947美元）表明多头占据上风，但高于81的相对强弱指数（RSI）表明近期反弹可能过快。

如果价格从当前水平下跌并从 48,970 美元反弹，则表明多头已将该水平转变为支撑位。这将增加继续上涨的可能性。

如果价格维持在 52,000 美元以上，BTC/USDT 货币对可能会上涨至 60,000 美元，这可能会成为一个巨大的障碍。相反，如果跌破20日均线，该货币对将面临短期反转的危险。

以太币价格分析

2 月 14 日，多头推动以太币 (ETH) 突破 2,717 美元阻力位，表明上升趋势已恢复。下一个上行目标是 3,000 美元的重要心理关口。

ETH/USDT 日线图。来源：

过去几天的大幅上涨已将RSI推入超买区域，表明短期内涨势可能过热。这可能会导致未来几天出现小幅调整或盘整。

If the price bounces off $2,717, it will suggest that the sentiment remains bullish and traders are viewing the dips as a buying opportunity. Instead, if the price turns down and slips below $2,717, it will suggest that the bulls are losing their grip. The ETH/USDT pair could decline to the 20-day EMA ($2,526).

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) turned down from $119 on Feb. 14 and is likely to retest the neckline of the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern at $107.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price rebounds off the neckline, it will suggest that the bulls have flipped the level into support. That will enhance the prospects of a break above $126. The SOL/USDT pair will then attempt a rally to the pattern target of $135.

Contrarily, if the price breaks below the neckline, it will suggest that the bears continue to sell on rallies. The bulls will again try to arrest the fall at the moving averages, but if they fail in their endeavor, the pair may slide to $93.

BNB price analysis

The failure of a bearish pattern is a bullish sign that proved correct in the case of BNB (BNB). Buyers pushed the price above the descending triangle pattern on Feb. 8 and followed that up with a break above the overhead resistance of $338 on Feb. 15.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The long wick on the Feb. 15 and Feb. 16 candlestick shows the bears are trying to halt the upward move near $366. Sellers will have to drag the price below $338 to weaken the bulls. If they do that, the BNB/USDT pair could drop to the 20-day EMA ($322).

Contrary to this assumption, if the price consolidates near the current level, it will suggest that the bulls anticipate the up move to continue. A break above $366 will open the doors for a possible rise to $400.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) turned up from the 20-day EMA ($0.53) on Feb. 14 and broke above the 50-day SMA ($0.55) on Feb. 15, indicating steady buying at higher levels.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The price has reached the downtrend line, which is likely to witness a tough battle between the bulls and the bears. If the bulls prevail, the XRP/USDT pair could accelerate toward $0.67. There is a minor resistance near $0.62, but it is likely to be overcome.

Contrarily, if the price turns down sharply from the current level and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the bears are fiercely defending the downtrend line. The pair may thereafter descend to $0.50.

Cardano price analysis

After struggling for a few days, Cardano (ADA) picked up momentum on Feb. 14 and broke above the immediate resistance at $0.57.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The upsloping 20-day EMA ($0.54) and the RSI in the positive territory indicate that bulls have a slight edge. There is a minor resistance at $0.62, but it is likely to be crossed. The ADA/USDT pair could then rally to the stiff overhead resistance at $0.68.

The important support to watch on the downside is at the moving averages. A break and close below the 50-day SMA ($0.53) will suggest that the recent breakout may have been a bull trap. The pair could then plunge to the solid support at $0.46.

Avalanche price analysis

The bulls nudged Avalanche (AVAX) above the $42 overhead resistance but could not sustain the higher levels as seen from the long wick on the Feb. 15 candlestick.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The price could dip to the 20-day EMA ($37.87), which is the first line of support. If the price turns up from the 20-day EMA, it will increase the likelihood of a break above $42. If that happens, the AVAX/USDT pair will complete a bullish inverse H&S pattern, triggering a rally to $50.

On the contrary, if the price continues lower and breaks below the moving average, it will suggest that the pair may swing between $32 and $42 for some time.

Related: Here’s what happened in crypto today

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE) turned up from the 20-day EMA ($0.08) on Feb. 14 and broke above the downtrend line, indicating that the bulls are trying to seize control.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price maintains above the downtrend line, the DOGE/USDT pair is likely to pick up momentum and surge toward the $0.10 to $0.11 resistance zone. The bears are expected to defend this zone with vigor.

Alternatively, if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that every higher level is being sold into. The pair may then decline to the uptrend line and later to the strong support at $0.07.

Chainlink price analysis

Chainlink (LINK) has been facing profit booking near $20.85, but a positive sign is that the bulls have not ceded much ground to the bears.

LINK/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

This suggests that the sentiment remains positive, and traders anticipate the uptrend to resume. The upsloping 20-day EMA ($18.41) and the RSI in the positive territory also indicate advantage to buyers. A break above $20.85 could open the doors for a move to the pattern target of $21.79.

The 20-day EMA is the crucial support to watch on the downside. If this level is violated, the LINK/USDT pair may plummet to $17.32.

Polkadot price analysis

Polkadot (DOT) has been sustaining above the 50-day SMA ($7.25) for the past two days, indicating buying from the bulls.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The moving averages are on the verge of a bullish crossover and the RSI is in the positive zone, indicating that the bulls are making a comeback. The 20-day EMA ($7.20) is likely to act as a support on dips and the bulls will try to propel the price to $8.58.

This optimistic view will be negated if the price turns down sharply and breaks below the moving averages. The pair could then slump to $6, which is likely to attract strong buying by the bulls.

本文不包含投资建议或建议。每一项投资和交易行为都涉及风险，读者在做出决定时应自行研究。

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