[丽莎]2024年GameFi机遇与挑战

时间：2023-12-30|浏览：243

GameFi 可能会成为具有里程碑意义的一年，预计将发布多款 3A (AAA) 游戏。

2024年会是区块链撼动传统游戏市场的一年吗？

GameFi 游戏并不总是在普通游戏公众中享有最佳声誉。

该类型的批评者指出其图形平庸、游戏机制缺乏创意以及普遍缺乏乐趣。

更令人恼火的是，GameFi 游戏的代币化元素往往难以长期维持。

但如果行业专家可信的话，GameFi 可能会进行彻底改造。

Shrapnel 是一款包含创作者生态系统的 AAA 级第一人称逃生射击游戏，其首席执行官 Mark Long 是预测该行业将迎来积极发展的声音之一。

朗很快承认区块链游戏目前的声誉非常好坏参半，但他认为下一波游戏会让批评者感到困惑。

“我预计明年最重要的事情之一就是围绕 Web3 游戏的叙述方式的转变，”Long 告诉 Cointelegraph。

“让我们面对现实吧，人们对这一类型的看法是，区块链游戏很糟糕。

由庞氏骗局机制驱动，需要新玩家的不断流入来证实任何应计价值。

它们不是为了赚钱而玩；而是为了赚钱。

他们是边玩边工作。”

尽管 Long 对当前的 GameFi 游戏很挑剔，但他预测正在酝酿的几款“突破性”游戏将改变公众的看法。

“我非常喜欢玩的两款游戏是《Dead Drop》和《Off The Grid》，”Long 说道。

“Dead Drop 是由 Disrespect 博士创造性地领导的，一个按照自己的规则行事的人的影响力就在前面 [...] Off The Grid 有我最喜欢的电影导演 Neil Blomkamp 来推动设计，它看起来很火。

对我来说，布卢姆坎普的世界是一种独特的、接地气的科幻小说，同时又以非常具体的方式令人惊讶。”

Shrapnel 首席执行官还将 Wildcard 命名为他期待的另一个游戏，并引用了包括玩家所有权在内的开发模型。

“GameFi 为 Web2 游戏玩家提供了一个令人兴奋的新机会，让他们可以做他们一直想做的事情：成为游戏创作的一部分，”Long 说。

简单的庞氏骗局

并非所有去中心化金融（DeFi）领域的人都对 GameFi 来年的前景感到如此兴奋。

移动赚钱平台 Sweat Economy 的联合创始人奥列格·福缅科 (Oleg Fomenko) 对该行业持高度怀疑态度。

Fomenko 认为差异化的 GameFi 行业永远无法挑战传统游戏，他认为整个概念都是错误的。

“The belief that a game which simply incorporates Web3 elements automatically belongs to a distinct category of GameFi is quickly fading,” Fomenko told Cointelegraph. “While Axie Infinity and StepN initially led us to believe they had created a whole new gaming world where players could earn and live off their earnings, this turned out to be a temporary and disappointing phenomenon. These were simply Ponzi schemes that benefited early adopters who also knew when to jump ship early.”

Fomenko said GameFi tokens only capture value “if gameplay inherently generates value,” but “it doesn’t.” Therefore, GameFi is inherently flawed.

Even so, the Sweat Economy founder did find some positivity in the wider Web3 sector. Fomenko went on to say that “games with Web3 elements will thrive, and I’m excited to see further innovation in this space, especially in the utility of nonfungible tokens (NFTs) within games.”

GameFi’s redemption arc

For GameFi to make a significant impact in 2024, it will need to overcome the negative perceptions that surround the industry. This is the verdict of Les Borsai, co-founder and chief strategy officer of Wave Financial — an investment adviser managing over $1.5 billion in assets.

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“Looking towards 2024, the journey of GameFi is at a critical juncture,” says Borsai. “Its current state has frankly been underwhelming, often criticized for prioritizing blockchain and DeFi gimmicks over genuine gameplay quality. This approach has led to significant backlash from the gaming community, who feel that the essence of gaming is being overshadowed by overt monetization tactics and unengaging mechanics.”

Borsai sees an opportunity for the industry if it can capitalize on other new technology trends, such as artificial intelligence (AI) and digital twin technologies. As Borsai sees it, these present “an opportunity for GameFi to redeem itself.”

“For GameFi to make a real impact in 2024 and win back gamers, it needs to fundamentally reevaluate its approach,” said Borsai. “It must go beyond slapping on advanced technology; it needs to integrate these elements seamlessly into games that players actually want to spend time in. If GameFi can strike this balance, it has the potential to not only mature but to also significantly alter our perception of what gaming with integrated finance can be.”

A complex business

Building AAA gaming titles is no easy task. Cutting-edge games typically take anywhere from two to five years to develop and bring to market. The wait for some titles is even longer. For example, Grand Theft Auto VI is scheduled for 2025 — a full 12 years after its predecessor hit the market.

The protracted development process illustrates how difficult game development is, even without the added complexity of integrating blockchain technology.

零知识（ZK）原生区块链 Mina Protocol 的技术产品经理 Teddy Pender 认为，零知识技术的实施可能会简化流程。

“过去，Web3 游戏应用程序因用户界面简陋和游戏体验差而受到批评。

然而，2024 年将是一个转折点，届时我们将看到 GameFi 应用程序开始看起来并感觉像是现有 Web2 游戏行业的真正竞争对手。”Pender 告诉 Cointelegraph。

“通过使用 ZK 原生区块链，开发者可以构建利用零知识框架的游戏，从而降低 GameFi 应用程序的复杂性。”

无论 ZK-proofs 还是其他技术解决方案能够帮助推动行业以新的活力向前发展，一些人士认为，该行业在希望赶上传统游戏之前还有很长的路要走。