Currency analysis reply post recommended by curren

Foreword: Yesterday, when Bitcoin sneezed, altcoins immediately caught a cold. Many currencies spit out all the gains they had made. Currently, Bitcoin is still the bellwether for the entire market. Bitcoin is currently in a shock and washout phase. Only if it maintains its momentum will altcoins have room to perform.​

IN

I have talked about this currency many times before, so I won’t go into details. It is still at a low price, so you can buy some; yesterday it followed the decline, but it did not fall below the main rising wave, nor did it increase in volume. The upward trend is still relatively complete; but judging from previous comments from currency friends, there are a lot of hold-ups. If you hold at least tens of thousands of coins, the subsequent rise will not be smooth sailing. It should rise in one step and three steps, violently washing the market while pulling; the current upper limit is around 20U.

ICP

This is the currency that has the most thorough cleaning (the most thorough cutting of leeks) among the currencies that I am currently paying attention to. The banker has spent the past three years trying to wash the market. At present, it has just pulled up a wave of prices and is washing the market. The banker has spent a lot of time cleaning the market. Such an effort to clean up the market is definitely not just for this little gain; from a technical point of view, the daily line is somewhat in an ascending triangle trend, with the bottom getting higher and higher. You can build positions in batches to intervene, and the current upper limit is around 40U. Similar to FIL, it is suitable for retail investors with certain assets (6-7 figures). The income is predictable, the decline is bottomed, the market is sufficient, the liquidity is good, and you can get in and out.

ORDI

As this currency is the most popular currency in this round of rising market, many people should be keeping an eye on it. Let me first talk about my own experience: I started to build a position in May and bought in batches until September. In the meantime, I kept helping my colleagues and friends. I also gave a lecture to the department with the theme of "Understanding BRC-20: The Best "The stories are the most controversial" were shared, and then all were sold in batches of around 60U. There should be no further intervention in the short term.

Of course, it’s not that I’m not optimistic about this currency. On the contrary, I’m very optimistic about this currency and the concept of the Bitcoin ecosystem it brings. I think this will be one of the most popular concepts in the fourth round of halving, and even In terms of the current market value, I don’t think it is excessive if it increases by 10 times. It's just that as an old leek who has been beaten up by the market N times, I am naturally wary of currencies after a sudden rise.

On the other hand, ORDI's current return ratio is a bit poor, which means that the risk is higher than the return. Although the return ratio will be much higher if you hold it for a long time, the time cost is also a cost, unless you are a die-hard fan and have the patience and patience. If you are determined to hold it for a long time, you can continue to hold it or even buy it now.

OP/ARB

Layer2's two leading projects, regardless of currency or track, are currently attracting attention. There is also the benefit of the ETH Cancun upgrade. At present, the prices of both are not high. The increase from the bottom is not high, and OP is stronger in terms of performance, but currently, in terms of increase, ARB has more potential. The current upper limit of ARB is about 5-6U; the current upper limit of OP is about 9-10U; in fact, both of them should be more dazzling in the fourth round of halving bull market, because when the bull market ETH is blocked, Layer 2 will be more seems important.

PIXEL/STRK

Putting these two together, it mainly refers to the concept of a hot new currency. Many people in the market have already analyzed the currency profile thoroughly, so I won’t go into details. The articles and tweets I wrote before also analyzed how to view and analyze whether this currency is worth buying: Are the popular "PIXEL and STRK" worth buying? What's the reason behind the popularity?

Here I only tell friends who want to buy these two coins in the future the price of intervention and opening a position:

STRK, open a position at around 0.8U, which is the price at which the main players obtain tokens in the last round. Of course, there are still a group of main players whose cost is 0.2U, so build positions in batches and don’t stud.

PIXEL, open a position around 0.3U. This currency currently has much lower risks than STRK. The main reason is that the market value is very small. If the market is washed too hard, the market will be wiped out. The current market value is more than 150. This is a high-quality currency in this ranking. It is easy to come up with a currency that has a 10-fold increase.

From the perspective of the overall environment, it can only be regarded as a small bull market at present. Market funds are mainly concentrated in Bitcoin, and other currencies have a little bit of soup. Therefore, we cannot imagine that the increase will be 10 times, 20 times, or 100 times. A double increase is good. If you get an increase of three to five times, it is considered to be meat. Don't be greedy.

As an old leek who has been in the industry since 2018 and has worked full-time in project teams, exchanges, Bitcoin mining, and media, I have been worried that around the time of the Bitcoin halving in April this year, the market will experience a sharp decline and a major reshuffle. The more accumulated floating profits are washed away, the more the fourth round of halving bull market will truly begin; because this is how the first three rounds of halving bull markets have played out in history, although the consensus on Bitcoin is now sufficient, and the involvement of large institutional investors is getting higher and higher. It is getting higher and higher, but the encryption market is still essentially a risk market, and big institutional investors cannot talk about die-hard fans.

Therefore, I have to say one last thing to all currency friends: just give it up when it’s good. The most important thing is to live long in this market. The ratio of people making money/losing money in all markets is 2:8. Especially in the current market situation: not only must you be able to buy, but more importantly, you must learn how to sell; this is the most important skill for becoming the last 20% to make money.

This post mainly strives to explain in a simple and easy-to-understand manner whether this currency is worth buying, what is the upper limit, how long it can be held, etc. If subsequent currency friends are interested, you can post a long article to expand on the analysis behind it. logic. #内容挖矿

Finally, this article is only for reference and not investment advice. The market is risky, so be cautious when entering the market.

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