[加密360]比特币价格预测：在 ETF 变动和 IRS 更新中触及 40,000 美元

在活跃的市场中，比特币周四飙升至 40,000 美元，涨幅接近 1%，这让投资者和分析师重新审视他们的比特币价格预测。这种上升是在一系列重大发展的背景下发生的：在股市动态的刺激下，中国投资者越来越多地参与比特币，尽管比特币在该国是被禁止的。

与此同时，美国国税局修订了有关数字资产的税表问题，标志着监管朝着更加明确的方向转变。 Arkham 进一步增加了生态系统的透明度，披露了与四个主要比特币 ETF 相关的链上地址，此举可能会重塑投资者情绪和市场动态。

中国市场趋势推动比特币参与：

在国家经济衰退的背景下，越来越多的中国投资者将加密货币（尤其是比特币）视为避风港。由于股市和房地产市场低迷，投资者正在通过非常规手段获取加密货币，并在监管灰色地带进行操作。尽管中国禁止加密货币交易和严格的资金流动规定，但人们仍在网站上进行交易。

利用香港对加密货币更为欢迎的氛围，中国银行和华夏基金等重要中国金融机构的香港分行正在调查与加密货币相关的企业。

由于经济的不确定性，越来越多的中国投资者开始转向比特币等数字资产，在传统市场的障碍面前看到了它的潜力。这种趋势可能会对比特币价格产生有利影响。

美国国税局修改税表中的数字资产立场

由于美国国税局 (IRS) 对所得税表格上的数字资产问题进行了更新和扩展，所有美国纳税人都必须在 2023 年联邦纳税申报表上记录与数字资产相关的收入。更新后的问题现已出现在另外四种税表中，重点关注包含稳定币、加密货币和不可替代代币（NFT）等数字资产的交易。

The extension of the digital asset inquiry to many tax forms—such as corporations, partnerships, estates, and trusts—highlights the IRS’s increased emphasis on cryptocurrency tax compliance.

Even while the news mostly affects taxpayers’ reporting requirements, greater oversight and regulatory actions in the cryptocurrency industry could have an impact on investor mood, market dynamics, and cryptocurrency prices.

Arkham Boosts Transparency with Bitcoin ETF Onchain Data

Four spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) connected to financial firms Blackrock, Fidelity, Bitwise, and Franklin Templeton have been discovered by Arkham Intelligence. With a focus on blockchain intelligence, the company has now recognized half of the ETFs available in the US market.

The ETFs that have been identified are the Bitwise BITB fund, the Franklin Templeton EZBC ETF, the Blackrock IBIT ETF, and Fidelity’s Wise Origin spot Bitcoin ETF (FBTC). The disclosure improves market openness by offering lucid insights into fund holdings and activities.

A more transparent bitcoin market is essential to fostering investor confidence and drawing knowledgeable participation. Even though the news mainly affects ETF transparency, it also benefits the integrity of the market as a whole and could have an impact on investor mood and Bitcoin prices.

Bitcoin Price Prediction

In the current market landscape, Bitcoin is nearing a critical juncture, edging close to its pivot level at $39,947 as shown on the 4-hour chart. The cryptocurrency is encountering initial resistance at $40,884, with further hurdles at $41,791 and an even more significant one at $43,394 that may restrain any price increases.

Conversely, Bitcoin’s support levels are positioned at $38,618, with additional safety nets at $37,638 and $36,745 if the price were to decline.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI), situated at 38, suggests a balanced field, with no immediate signs of overbought or oversold conditions, leaving room for potential shifts up or down. The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), at $40,494, hovers just above the pivot point, indicating an ongoing struggle between buyers and sellers.

Technical patterns, including a prominent double top formation with resistance near $39,950, could spell a downturn if Bitcoin doesn’t manage an upward breach. As it stands, the broader sentiment for Bitcoin’s trajectory is inclined to the downside, particularly if it cannot sustain above the pivotal $40,000 mark.

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